Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:00 •
Crabble Athletic Ground
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.56)
2.91 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.1% | 16.9% | 52.3% |
best score tips
1 - 2
6.7%
1 - 3
6.5%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Worthing | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dover | 0 | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dover | Worthing |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 13% |
| Attack | 28% | 44% |
| Defense | 50% | 39% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dover | Worthing | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 27% | 40% | 33% | 53% | 50% | 52% |
| Draws | 27% | 20% | 23% | 40% | 0% | 21% |
| Loses | 47% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 50% | 28% |
Form: Dover: LWWWLLDWDDLDDDLLDWWWWLLLLWLLWL • Worthing: DWLDLDWWLLWWWWWWWLWWWWWDLDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Dover | Worthing | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 16 | 42 | 37 | 28 | 65 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 27 | 20 | 47 | 12 | 24 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dover | Worthing | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 80% | 79% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 47% | 69% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 23% | 41% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 3% | 24% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 10% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dover | Worthing | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dover | Worthing |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dover | Worthing |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | 5-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 5-4 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dover | Worthing |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 40.7% | 59.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Worthing and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home5.11 @ 1xBet
Draw4.60 @ Betfair
Away1.56 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.75 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Dover
vs
Worthing
Expected goals
1.85
Dover xG
League Avg: 1.56
Total
4.77
2.91
Worthing xG
League Avg: 1.24
1x2 probabilities
Home
22.1%
Draw
16.9%
Away
52.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
6.7%
Tip
1 - 3
6.5%
Tip
2 - 2
6.2%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
68%
Chance
3.5+
49%
Chance
BTTS
79%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Dover = 1.85 (league 1.56), Worthing = 2.91 (league 1.24)
| Worthing | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dover | 0 | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.1% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 52.3%
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