Tue, Dec 30 2025 • 19:45 • The Impact Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.53) 0.57 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.9% 35.6% 21.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.0%
1 - 0
20.8%
0 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Leamington
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 22.0% 12.6% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.8% 11.8% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.8% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlfreton TownLeamington
Played55
Form13%7%
Attack21%32%
Defense47%32%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alfreton Town Leamington
HATHAT
Played101222111122
Wins30%8%18%27%0%14%
Draws30%33%32%9%36%23%
Loses40%58%50%64%64%64%

Form: Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLDLLDWLWLDLDL • Leamington: DLDWLWWLLDLLLDLLLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Alfreton Town Leamington
HATHAT
GF total891710717
GF avg0.80.80.80.90.60.8
GA total122941162036
GA avg1.22.41.91.51.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlfreton TownLeamington
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%82%59%91%
1.518%45%18%55%
2.50%23%0%14%
3.50%14%0%5%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlfreton TownLeamington
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score459459

Penalties

MetricAlfreton TownLeamington
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAlfreton TownLeamington
Wins12
Draws11
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-1—
Biggest losses0-36-01-34-1
Goals For2222
Goals Against3634

Model comparison

MetricAlfreton TownLeamington
Form67%33%
Att40%60%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h93%7%
Goals69%31%
Total64.8%35.2%

Advice: Double chance : Alfreton Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ Unibet
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away4.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alfreton Town = 0.94 (league 1.53), Leamington = 0.57 (league 1.26)

Leamington
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 22.0% 12.6% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.8% 11.8% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.8% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.9% · Draw 35.6% · Away win 21.4%

vtt 15 , vtd1