Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 09:00 •
Campo Sportivo San Pietro in Lama
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.43)
1.11 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.8% | 29.1% | 35.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Genoa U20 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lecce U20 | 0 | 11.1% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lecce U20 | Genoa U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 46% | 31% |
| Defense | 62% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lecce U20 | Genoa U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 38% | 38% | 38% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
| Draws | 38% | 31% | 34% | 50% | 31% | 41% |
| Loses | 25% | 31% | 28% | 19% | 38% | 28% |
Form: Lecce U20: LLLWLDDDDWWLDWLLDWWWWWLWDWDWDDDL • Genoa U20: WDWWWDWDDLWLLDDDLLWWDLDDLLWDLDWD
League goals
| Metric | Lecce U20 | Genoa U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 29 | 48 | 20 | 17 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 20 | 25 | 45 | 19 | 21 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lecce U20 | Genoa U20 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 78% | 81% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 28% | 22% | 6% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lecce U20 | Genoa U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lecce U20 | Genoa U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lecce U20 | Genoa U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lecce U20 | Genoa U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 42.7% | 57.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Genoa U20
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.89 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Dafabet
Away3.67 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.80 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.66 @ Marathonbet
No2.10 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lecce U20 = 1.09 (league 1.43), Genoa U20 = 1.11 (league 1.29)
| Genoa U20 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lecce U20 | 0 | 11.1% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.8% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 35.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1
