Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 14:00 •
Uhlenkrugstadion
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.92)
1.21 (league 1.62)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.9% | 26.8% | 33.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
10.6%
0 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| KFC Uerdingen 05 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SW Essen | 0 | 8.1% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SW Essen | KFC Uerdingen 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 53% | 53% |
| Defense | 71% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SW Essen | KFC Uerdingen 05 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 40% | 42% | 41% | 55% | 40% | 48% |
| Draws | 30% | 17% | 23% | 18% | 30% | 24% |
| Loses | 30% | 42% | 36% | 27% | 30% | 29% |
Form: SW Essen: DLWWLWLLDWDLLWWDLLDWWW • KFC Uerdingen 05: DDWLWLLWWWWDWLDWDWWLL
League goals
| Metric | SW Essen | KFC Uerdingen 05 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 17 | 35 | 23 | 13 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 15 | 20 | 35 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SW Essen | KFC Uerdingen 05 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 64% | 76% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 45% | 48% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 32% | 19% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 18% | 14% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SW Essen | KFC Uerdingen 05 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | SW Essen | KFC Uerdingen 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | SW Essen | KFC Uerdingen 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 3-5 | 6-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-2 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SW Essen | KFC Uerdingen 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 51.3% | 48.7% |
Advice: Double chance : SW Essen or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): SW Essen = 1.31 (league 1.92), KFC Uerdingen 05 = 1.21 (league 1.62)
| KFC Uerdingen 05 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SW Essen | 0 | 8.1% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.9% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 33.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1