Fri, Mar 27 2026 • 18:00 •
Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.61)
0.93 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.6% | 30.2% | 30.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SV Babelsberg 03 | 0 | 12.9% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SV Babelsberg 03 | BSG Chemie Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 54% | 54% |
| Defense | 8% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SV Babelsberg 03 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| Wins | 18% | 31% | 25% | 36% | 9% | 24% |
| Draws | 0% | 46% | 25% | 7% | 18% | 12% |
| Loses | 82% | 23% | 50% | 57% | 73% | 64% |
Form: SV Babelsberg 03: LDLWWWLWLLDLDLDLWDLLLWDL • BSG Chemie Leipzig: LLLLLLDLWLWLWLWLLLLLWDLDW
League goals
| Metric | SV Babelsberg 03 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 22 | 35 | 18 | 6 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 26 | 19 | 45 | 21 | 17 | 38 |
| GA avg | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SV Babelsberg 03 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 83% | 56% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 54% | 32% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 29% | 8% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SV Babelsberg 03 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | SV Babelsberg 03 | BSG Chemie Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | SV Babelsberg 03 | BSG Chemie Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 5-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SV Babelsberg 03 | BSG Chemie Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 37% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 54.7% | 45.3% |
Advice: Double chance : SV Babelsberg 03 or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Pinnacle
Away2.95 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ Pinnacle
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
SV Babelsberg 03
vs
BSG Chemie Leipzig
Expected goals
1.12
SV Babelsberg 03 xG
League Avg: 1.61
Total
2.05
0.93
BSG Chemie Leipzig xG
League Avg: 1.29
1x2 probabilities
Home
39.6%
Draw
30.2%
Away
30.1%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
14.4%
Tip
1 - 1
13.4%
Tip
0 - 0
12.8%
More chances
1.5+
82%
Chance
2.5+
58%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): SV Babelsberg 03 = 1.11 (league 1.61), BSG Chemie Leipzig = 0.93 (league 1.29)
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SV Babelsberg 03 | 0 | 12.9% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.5% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 30.1%
vtt 4 , vtd1