Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 11:30 •
Manfred-Werner-Stadion
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.77)
1.70 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.5% | 23.4% | 42.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Bremer SV | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Weiche Flensburg | 0 | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Weiche Flensburg | Bremer SV |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 53% |
| Attack | 50% | 75% |
| Defense | 25% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Weiche Flensburg | Bremer SV | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 16 | 12 | 28 |
| Wins | 38% | 36% | 37% | 44% | 33% | 39% |
| Draws | 15% | 21% | 19% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 46% | 43% | 44% | 31% | 42% | 36% |
Form: Weiche Flensburg: LWWLLLLWWWLDWLLWDDWLLWDLDLW • Bremer SV: LWLWDWLLWLDLLWLWDWLWWDDDDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Weiche Flensburg | Bremer SV | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 29 | 57 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 31 | 26 | 57 | 22 | 14 | 36 |
| GA avg | 2.4 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Weiche Flensburg | Bremer SV | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 85% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 63% | 46% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 37% | 41% | 21% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 15% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Weiche Flensburg | Bremer SV | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Weiche Flensburg | Bremer SV |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Weiche Flensburg | Bremer SV |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-5 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Weiche Flensburg | Bremer SV |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 37% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 48.7% | 51.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Bremer SV
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Weiche Flensburg = 1.49 (league 1.77), Bremer SV = 1.70 (league 1.70)
| Bremer SV | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Weiche Flensburg | 0 | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.5% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 42.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1
