Vilaverdense vs Machico

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A — Portugal

Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Cruz do Reguengo

Match Finished

Vilaverdense

1 - 1

Machico

Expected Goals

1.98 (league 1.45) 0.77 (league 1.08)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
64.1%	20.5%	13.7%

best score tips

1 - 0

12.6%

2 - 0

12.5%

1 - 1

9.7%

Score & goals probability table

		Machico
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Vilaverdense	0	6.3%	4.9%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	12.6%	9.7%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	2	12.5%	9.7%	3.7%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	8.2%	6.4%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	4.1%	3.2%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	1.6%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Vilaverdense	Machico
Played	5	5
Form	40%	7%
Attack	38%	38%
Defense	75%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	3 \| 0.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	9 \| 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%

FT probability

2.5+

47%

FT probability

3.5+

33%

FT probability

BTTS

58%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Vilaverdense			Machico
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	5	5	10	5	5	10
Wins	40%	0%	20%	20%	20%	20%
Draws	20%	80%	50%	40%	20%	30%
Loses	40%	20%	30%	40%	60%	50%

Form: Vilaverdense: DLLDWWDLDD • Machico: WWLDDLLLLD

League goals

Metric	Vilaverdense			Machico
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	6	1	7	3	7	10
GF avg	1.2	0.2	0.7	0.6	1.4	1.0
GA total	3	2	5	3	12	15
GA avg	0.6	0.4	0.5	0.6	2.4	1.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Vilaverdense		Machico
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	40%	40%	60%	70%
1.5	20%	10%	30%	40%
2.5	10%	0%	10%	30%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	10%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Vilaverdense			Machico
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	3	6	2	1	3
Failed to score	2	4	6	4	0	4

Penalties

Metric	Vilaverdense	Machico
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Vilaverdense	Machico
Wins	2	2
Draws	1	2
Losses	2	4

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	—	3-1	0-1
Biggest losses	1-2	1-0	0-1	4-1
Goals For	3	1	3	2
Goals Against	2	1	1	4

Model comparison

Metric	Vilaverdense	Machico
Form	86%	14%
Att	50%	50%
Def	82%	18%
Poisson Distribution	67%	33%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	71.3%	28.8%

Advice: Double chance : Vilaverdense or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Unibet

Draw3.15 @ 188Bet

Away4.35 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill

No1.77 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Under 2.51.62 @ Unibet

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Vilaverdense vs Machico

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Vilaverdense

Machico

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A • Portugal • Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Cruz do Reguengo

Expected goals

1.98

Vilaverdense xG League Avg: 1.45

Total

2.76

0.77

Machico xG League Avg: 1.08

1x2 probabilities

Home

64.1%

Draw

20.5%

Away

13.7%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 0

12.6%

Tip

2 - 0

12.5%

Tip

1 - 1

9.7%

More chances

1.5+

66%

Chance

2.5+

47%

Chance

3.5+

33%

Chance

BTTS

58%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#Vilaverdense #Machico #CampeonatoDePortugalPrioGroupA #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Vilaverdense = 1.98 (league 1.45), Machico = 0.77 (league 1.08)

		Machico
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Vilaverdense	0	6.3%	4.9%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	12.6%	9.7%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	2	12.5%	9.7%	3.7%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	8.2%	6.4%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	4.1%	3.2%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	1.6%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.1% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 13.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Vilaverdense	Machico
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0