Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Cruz do Reguengo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.57) 0.78 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.2% 22.2% 15.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.4%
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Machico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vilaverdense 0 7.3% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.4% 10.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.5% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVilaverdenseMachico
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack38%38%
Defense75%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vilaverdense Machico
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%0%20%20%20%20%
Draws20%80%50%40%20%30%
Loses40%20%30%40%60%50%

Form: Vilaverdense: DLLDWWDLDD • Machico: WWLDDLLLLD

League goals

Metric Vilaverdense Machico
HATHAT
GF total6173710
GF avg1.20.20.70.61.41.0
GA total32531215
GA avg0.60.40.50.62.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVilaverdenseMachico
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%40%60%70%
1.520%10%30%40%
2.510%0%10%30%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVilaverdenseMachico
HATHAT
Clean sheets336213
Failed to score246404

Penalties

MetricVilaverdenseMachico
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVilaverdenseMachico
Wins22
Draws12
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—3-10-1
Biggest losses1-21-00-14-1
Goals For3132
Goals Against2114

Model comparison

MetricVilaverdenseMachico
Form86%14%
Att50%50%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total71.3%28.8%

Advice: Double chance : Vilaverdense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Unibet
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away4.35 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.77 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Vilaverdense = 1.84 (league 1.57), Machico = 0.78 (league 1.07)

Machico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vilaverdense 0 7.3% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.4% 10.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.5% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.2% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 15.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1