Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.45)
0.66 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.7% | 38.9% | 29.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.5%
1 - 0
17.9%
0 - 1
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Celoricense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chaves II | 0 | 25.5% | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.9% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chaves II | Celoricense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 67% |
| Attack | 20% | 80% |
| Defense | 60% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chaves II | Celoricense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 56% | 10% | 32% | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| Draws | 11% | 60% | 37% | 30% | 33% | 32% |
| Loses | 33% | 30% | 32% | 20% | 33% | 26% |
Form: Chaves II: WWDWLWDWLWDDLLDLLDD • Celoricense: LWWWLDDWDLLWDDWLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Chaves II | Celoricense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 12 | 27 | 22 | 8 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 7 | 15 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chaves II | Celoricense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 74% | 74% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 32% | 42% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 11% | 21% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chaves II | Celoricense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chaves II | Celoricense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chaves II | Celoricense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chaves II | Celoricense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 23% | 77% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 37.3% | 62.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Celoricense and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.22 @ 1xBet
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away2.48 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.93 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Chaves II
vs
Celoricense
Expected goals
0.70
Chaves II xG
League Avg: 1.45
Total
1.37
0.66
Celoricense xG
League Avg: 1.08
1x2 probabilities
Home
31.7%
Draw
38.9%
Away
29.4%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
25.5%
Tip
1 - 0
17.9%
Tip
0 - 1
16.9%
More chances
1.5+
65%
Chance
2.5+
46%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
60%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Chaves II = 0.70 (league 1.45), Celoricense = 0.66 (league 1.08)
| Celoricense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chaves II | 0 | 25.5% | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.9% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.7% · Draw 38.9% · Away win 29.4%
vtt 2 , vtd1