Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Ponte de Sôr
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.17)
2.12 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.0% | 20.4% | 58.3% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
1 - 1
9.3%
0 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Mortágua | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Eléctrico | 0 | 3.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Eléctrico | Mortágua |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 46% | 54% |
| Defense | 69% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Eléctrico | Mortágua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 33% | 17% | 25% | 17% | 50% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| Loses | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 17% | 25% |
Form: Eléctrico: LLLLLDWDLWWD • Mortágua: DDWWLLDWDDWL
League goals
| Metric | Eléctrico | Mortágua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 14 | 10 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Eléctrico | Mortágua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 58% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 58% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 42% | 8% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Eléctrico | Mortágua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Eléctrico | Mortágua |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Eléctrico | Mortágua |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-1 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Eléctrico | Mortágua |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 45.8% | 54.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Mortágua
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.70 @ Superbet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away1.82 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.20 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.05 @ Superbet
No1.73 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Eléctrico
vs
Mortágua
Expected goals
1.11
Eléctrico xG
League Avg: 1.17
Total
3.23
2.12
Mortágua xG
League Avg: 1.08
1x2 probabilities
Home
19.0%
Draw
20.4%
Away
58.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
9.9%
Tip
1 - 1
9.3%
Tip
0 - 2
8.9%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
54%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
64%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Eléctrico = 1.11 (league 1.17), Mortágua = 2.12 (league 1.08)
| Mortágua | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Eléctrico | 0 | 3.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.0% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 58.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1