Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.49)
0.65 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0% | 22.8% | 13.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.9%
2 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Carrarese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Monza | 0 | 9.1% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.9% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Monza | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 38% | 38% |
| Defense | 69% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Monza | Carrarese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 75% | 38% | 56% | 38% | 13% | 25% |
| Draws | 13% | 38% | 25% | 38% | 50% | 44% |
| Loses | 13% | 25% | 19% | 25% | 38% | 31% |
Form: Monza: WDLWLDWWWWWWWDDL • Carrarese: WDDLDDWDWLLDDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Monza | Carrarese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 11 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Monza | Carrarese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 56% | 69% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 19% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 25% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Monza | Carrarese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Monza | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Monza | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Monza | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 61.5% | 38.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Monza or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.60 @ William Hill
Draw4.04 @ Pinnacle
Away6.19 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.07 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.07 @ Unibet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Monza = 1.74 (league 1.49), Carrarese = 0.65 (league 1.08)
| Carrarese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Monza | 0 | 9.1% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.9% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.0% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 13.3%
vtt 11 , vtd1
