Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 18:00 • Stade de la Meinau
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.75) 1.41 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.4% 26.2% 41.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Montpellier W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Strasbourg W 0 7.4% 10.5% 7.4% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4%
1 8.8% 12.5% 8.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.2% 7.4% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.1% 2.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStrasbourg WMontpellier W
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack38%63%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.614 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Strasbourg W Montpellier W
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%33%27%33%0%18%
Draws40%33%36%0%20%9%
Loses40%33%36%67%80%73%

Form: Strasbourg W: DDWLLDWLLDW • Montpellier W: LLLWWLLLLDL

League goals

Metric Strasbourg W Montpellier W
HATHAT
GF total47118816
GF avg0.81.21.01.31.61.5
GA total6915131326
GA avg1.21.51.42.22.62.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStrasbourg WMontpellier W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%55%91%91%
1.536%45%45%82%
2.59%18%9%36%
3.59%9%0%18%
4.50%9%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStrasbourg WMontpellier W
HATHAT
Clean sheets235101
Failed to score336101

Penalties

MetricStrasbourg WMontpellier W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricStrasbourg WMontpellier W
Wins12
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-43-1—
Biggest losses0-35-01-54-2
Goals For2432
Goals Against3554

Model comparison

MetricStrasbourg WMontpellier W
Form88%13%
Att38%63%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h13%88%
Goals20%80%
Total45.3%55.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Montpellier W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Strasbourg W = 1.19 (league 1.75), Montpellier W = 1.41 (league 1.36)

Montpellier W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Strasbourg W 0 7.4% 10.5% 7.4% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4%
1 8.8% 12.5% 8.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.2% 7.4% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.1% 2.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.4% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 41.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1