National 1
— France
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 18:30 •
Stade Guy Piriou
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.32)
0.69 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.6% | 26.5% | 17.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.9%
2 - 0
12.5%
1 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Caen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Concarneau | 0 | 11.5% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.5% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Concarneau | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 75% | 50% |
| Defense | 63% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Concarneau | Caen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 50% | 22% | 33% | 38% | 14% | 27% |
| Draws | 33% | 56% | 47% | 50% | 57% | 53% |
| Loses | 17% | 22% | 20% | 13% | 29% | 20% |
Form: Concarneau: DWDWLLLWWDDWDDD • Caen: WDLWDDDLWLDDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Concarneau | Caen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Concarneau | Caen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 53% | 53% | 73% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 7% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Concarneau | Caen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Concarneau | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Concarneau | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Concarneau | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 47.7% | 52.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Concarneau or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.62 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.68 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Concarneau
vs
Caen
Expected goals
1.48
Concarneau xG
League Avg: 1.32
Total
2.17
0.69
Caen xG
League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
55.6%
Draw
26.5%
Away
17.4%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
16.9%
Tip
2 - 0
12.5%
Tip
1 - 1
11.7%
More chances
1.5+
59%
Chance
2.5+
42%
Chance
3.5+
30%
Chance
BTTS
64%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Concarneau = 1.48 (league 1.32), Caen = 0.69 (league 1.11)
| Caen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Concarneau | 0 | 11.5% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.5% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.6% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 17.4%
vtt 10 , vtd1