Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 16:00 •
Stade d'Erbajolo
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.33)
0.51 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8% | 18.3% | 8.1% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.2%
1 - 0
15.9%
3 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Sainte Geneviève | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bastia II | 0 | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.9% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.2% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.1% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bastia II | Sainte Geneviève |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 20% |
| Attack | 53% | 29% |
| Defense | 71% | 35% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bastia II | Sainte Geneviève | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 60% | 40% | 50% | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Draws | 20% | 30% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Loses | 20% | 30% | 25% | 40% | 73% | 57% |
Form: Bastia II: WWWLDDLWWWLWDLDDWLWW • Sainte Geneviève: LDLWWLLWDLWWWLLLLLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Bastia II | Sainte Geneviève | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 16 | 32 | 17 | 9 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 7 | 11 | 18 | 16 | 19 | 35 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bastia II | Sainte Geneviève | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 60% | 71% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 25% | 43% | 62% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 5% | 5% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bastia II | Sainte Geneviève | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bastia II | Sainte Geneviève |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bastia II | Sainte Geneviève |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bastia II | Sainte Geneviève |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 55.2% | 45.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Bastia II or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Bastia II
vs
Sainte Geneviève
Expected goals
2.04
Bastia II xG
League Avg: 1.33
Total
2.56
0.51
Sainte Geneviève xG
League Avg: 1.10
1x2 probabilities
Home
71.8%
Draw
18.3%
Away
8.1%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
16.2%
Tip
1 - 0
15.9%
Tip
3 - 0
11.1%
More chances
1.5+
73%
Chance
2.5+
51%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Bastia II = 2.04 (league 1.33), Sainte Geneviève = 0.51 (league 1.10)
| Sainte Geneviève | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bastia II | 0 | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.9% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.2% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.1% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.8% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 8.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1