Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Pasarón
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.38)
1.36 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.9% | 26.1% | 38.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Racing Ferrol | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pontevedra | 0 | 7.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pontevedra | Racing Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 46% | 54% |
| Defense | 77% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pontevedra | Racing Ferrol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 38% | 44% | 41% | 56% | 50% | 53% |
| Draws | 50% | 22% | 35% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Loses | 13% | 33% | 24% | 11% | 50% | 29% |
Form: Pontevedra: DWLLWWLDDWDDLDWWW • Racing Ferrol: WWWLDDWWLLWWLDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Pontevedra | Racing Ferrol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 7 | 20 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pontevedra | Racing Ferrol | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 76% | 88% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 12% | 41% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pontevedra | Racing Ferrol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pontevedra | Racing Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pontevedra | Racing Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pontevedra | Racing Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 15% | 85% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Pontevedra or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.45 @ 1xBet
Draw3.02 @ 1xBet
Away3.28 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.65 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.21 @ 1xBet
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Pontevedra
vs
Racing Ferrol
Expected goals
1.28
Pontevedra xG
League Avg: 1.38
Total
2.64
1.36
Racing Ferrol xG
League Avg: 1.05
1x2 probabilities
Home
34.9%
Draw
26.1%
Away
38.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.4%
Tip
0 - 1
9.7%
Tip
1 - 0
9.2%
More chances
1.5+
69%
Chance
2.5+
49%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
74%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Pontevedra = 1.28 (league 1.38), Racing Ferrol = 1.36 (league 1.05)
| Racing Ferrol | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pontevedra | 0 | 7.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.9% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 38.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1