Sun, Apr 12 2026 ā¢ 16:00 ā¢
Estadio La Molineta
Expected Goals
2.72 (league 1.39)
1.15 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.6% | 15.9% | 13.6% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 0
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Alfaro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tudelano | 0 | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tudelano | Alfaro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 50% | 64% |
| Defense | 36% | 21% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tudelano | Alfaro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 53% | 40% | 47% | 27% | 7% | 17% |
| Draws | 27% | 27% | 27% | 27% | 20% | 23% |
| Loses | 20% | 33% | 27% | 47% | 73% | 60% |
Form: Tudelano: WDWLWWDWWLWLWDLWDLWWLDWDWLDDLW ā¢ Alfaro: DLDLWLLLLLLWDLDLWDLLLLLWLDDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Tudelano | Alfaro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 23 | 50 | 13 | 16 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 16 | 20 | 36 | 21 | 32 | 53 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tudelano | Alfaro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 73% | 57% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 30% | 27% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 13% | 10% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 3% | 3% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tudelano | Alfaro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tudelano | Alfaro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 8 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 8 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tudelano | Alfaro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-5 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-1 | 0-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tudelano | Alfaro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 58.3% | 41.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Tudelano or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.33 @ 188Bet
Draw5.75 @ Bet365
Away10.00 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.25 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Tudelano
vs
Alfaro
Expected goals
2.72
Tudelano xG
League Avg: 1.39
Total
3.87
1.15
Alfaro xG
League Avg: 1.05
1x2 probabilities
Home
64.6%
Draw
15.9%
Away
13.6%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
8.9%
Tip
3 - 1
8.0%
Tip
2 - 0
7.7%
More chances
1.5+
84%
Chance
2.5+
59%
Chance
3.5+
42%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
šØ Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (Ī»): Tudelano = 2.72 (league 1.39), Alfaro = 1.15 (league 1.05)
| Alfaro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tudelano | 0 | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.6% Ā· Draw 15.9% Ā· Away win 13.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1