Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Linarejos
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.24)
1.12 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.6% | 23.0% | 23.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Melilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Linares Deportivo | 0 | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Linares Deportivo | Melilla |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 80% |
| Defense | 0% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Linares Deportivo | Melilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 29% | 33% | 31% | 38% | 0% | 19% |
| Draws | 43% | 44% | 44% | 63% | 38% | 50% |
| Loses | 29% | 22% | 25% | 0% | 63% | 31% |
Form: Linares Deportivo: DDWDWLLLDWDWWDLD • Melilla: WLDLDDWLDLDLDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Linares Deportivo | Melilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 9 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 9 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Linares Deportivo | Melilla | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 88% | 63% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 31% | 31% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 13% | 6% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Linares Deportivo | Melilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Linares Deportivo | Melilla |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Linares Deportivo | Melilla |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-2 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Linares Deportivo | Melilla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 45.8% | 54.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Melilla
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.20 @ 188Bet
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.23 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Linares Deportivo = 1.81 (league 1.24), Melilla = 1.12 (league 0.91)
| Melilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Linares Deportivo | 0 | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.6% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 23.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1
