Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 16:00 •
Ciudad Deportiva MCF Campo 1
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.24)
2.14 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5% | 18.4% | 68.9% |
best score tips
0 - 2
13.6%
0 - 1
12.8%
0 - 3
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Lorca Deportiva | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Málaga II | 0 | 6.0% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Málaga II | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Málaga II | Lorca Deportiva | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 27% | 0% | 14% | 55% | 36% | 45% |
| Draws | 9% | 27% | 18% | 27% | 18% | 23% |
| Loses | 64% | 73% | 68% | 18% | 45% | 32% |
Form: Málaga II: LLDDLLLLLWDLLLLLLLWLWD • Lorca Deportiva: DLLDLDWWWWWWWLLDWLLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Málaga II | Lorca Deportiva | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 17 | 20 | 37 | 5 | 15 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Málaga II | Lorca Deportiva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 91% | 68% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 50% | 32% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 27% | 9% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Málaga II | Lorca Deportiva | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Málaga II | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Málaga II | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Málaga II | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 40.2% | 59.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Lorca Deportiva
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.90 @ 10Bet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.18 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.28 @ 188Bet
No1.71 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Málaga II
vs
Lorca Deportiva
Expected goals
0.68
Málaga II xG
League Avg: 1.24
Total
2.82
2.14
Lorca Deportiva xG
League Avg: 0.91
1x2 probabilities
Home
10.5%
Draw
18.4%
Away
68.9%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 2
13.6%
Tip
0 - 1
12.8%
Tip
0 - 3
9.7%
More chances
1.5+
66%
Chance
2.5+
46%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
64%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Málaga II = 0.68 (league 1.24), Lorca Deportiva = 2.14 (league 0.91)
| Lorca Deportiva | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Málaga II | 0 | 6.0% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.5% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 68.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1