Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.45)
0.27 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.9% | 30.7% | 8.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
27.5%
0 - 0
22.7%
2 - 0
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Socuéllamos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| RSD Alcalá | 0 | 22.7% | 6.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.5% | 7.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.7% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | RSD Alcalá | Socuéllamos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 40% | 47% |
| Defense | 47% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | RSD Alcalá | Socuéllamos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 55% | 8% | 29% | 25% | 8% | 17% |
| Draws | 27% | 38% | 33% | 17% | 42% | 29% |
| Loses | 18% | 54% | 38% | 58% | 50% | 54% |
Form: RSD Alcalá: LWDDWLWDWLDLWLWDDLDLWLLD • Socuéllamos: DLLLDWLDDLLLWDLLLLDLWDWL
League goals
| Metric | RSD Alcalá | Socuéllamos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 14 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 25 | 31 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | RSD Alcalá | Socuéllamos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 71% | 63% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 42% | 21% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 17% | 0% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | RSD Alcalá | Socuéllamos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | RSD Alcalá | Socuéllamos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | RSD Alcalá | Socuéllamos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 2-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | RSD Alcalá | Socuéllamos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.7% |
Advice: Double chance : RSD Alcalá or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.65 @ William Hill
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away5.49 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): RSD Alcalá = 1.21 (league 1.45), Socuéllamos = 0.27 (league 1.11)
| Socuéllamos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| RSD Alcalá | 0 | 22.7% | 6.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.5% | 7.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.7% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.9% · Draw 30.7% · Away win 8.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1
