Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:00 • Staplewood Training Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.42 (league 1.86) 1.55 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.2% 19.1% 23.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 1
7.1%
3 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Brighton U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton U21 0 1.9% 2.9% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 4.6% 7.1% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.5% 8.6% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.4% 6.9% 5.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 2.7% 4.2% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthampton U21Brighton U21
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack46%38%
Defense63%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southampton U21 Brighton U21
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins75%40%56%75%20%44%
Draws25%40%33%25%40%33%
Loses0%20%11%0%40%22%

Form: Southampton U21: WWDWDWLWD • Brighton U21: WWLWDDLDW

League goals

Metric Southampton U21 Brighton U21
HATHAT
GF total101020101020
GF avg2.52.02.22.52.02.2
GA total510152911
GA avg1.32.01.70.51.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthampton U21Brighton U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%89%67%
1.578%44%67%33%
2.533%22%44%22%
3.511%0%22%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthampton U21Brighton U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricSouthampton U21Brighton U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricSouthampton U21Brighton U21
Wins22
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-24-00-4
Biggest losses—3-1—3-1
Goals For4344
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricSouthampton U21Brighton U21
Form57%43%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Brighton U21 and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ Dafabet
Draw4.06 @ Pinnacle
Away2.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ Pinnacle
No3.10 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southampton U21 = 2.42 (league 1.86), Brighton U21 = 1.55 (league 1.67)

Brighton U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton U21 0 1.9% 2.9% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 4.6% 7.1% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.5% 8.6% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.4% 6.9% 5.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 2.7% 4.2% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.2% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 23.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1