Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:00 •
Staplewood Training Ground
Expected Goals
2.44 (league 1.84)
1.56 (league 1.66)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.2% | 19.0% | 23.5% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 1
7.0%
3 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Brighton U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southampton U21 | 0 | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Southampton U21 | Brighton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 46% | 38% |
| Defense | 63% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
86%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Southampton U21 | Brighton U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 75% | 40% | 56% | 75% | 20% | 44% |
| Draws | 25% | 40% | 33% | 25% | 40% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 11% | 0% | 40% | 22% |
Form: Southampton U21: WWDWDWLWD • Brighton U21: WWLWDDLDW
League goals
| Metric | Southampton U21 | Brighton U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Southampton U21 | Brighton U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 89% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 78% | 44% | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 22% | 44% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Southampton U21 | Brighton U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Southampton U21 | Brighton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Southampton U21 | Brighton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Southampton U21 | Brighton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Brighton U21 and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.16 @ Dafabet
Draw4.06 @ Pinnacle
Away2.88 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.40 @ Pinnacle
No3.10 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Southampton U21
vs
Brighton U21
Expected goals
2.44
Southampton U21 xG
League Avg: 1.84
Total
4.00
1.56
Brighton U21 xG
League Avg: 1.66
1x2 probabilities
Home
53.2%
Draw
19.0%
Away
23.5%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
8.5%
Tip
1 - 1
7.0%
Tip
3 - 1
6.9%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
75%
Chance
3.5+
53%
Chance
BTTS
86%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Southampton U21 = 2.44 (league 1.84), Brighton U21 = 1.56 (league 1.66)
| Brighton U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southampton U21 | 0 | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.2% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 23.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1