Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:00 •
Staplewood Training Ground
Expected Goals
2.17 (league 1.84)
1.08 (league 1.66)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.8% | 19.9% | 17.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.1%
1 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Leeds United U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southampton U21 | 0 | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Southampton U21 | Leeds United U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 53% | 40% |
| Defense | 53% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Southampton U21 | Leeds United U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 13% | 22% | 18% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 63% | 44% | 53% |
Form: Southampton U21: WWDWDWLWDWWLDDWDWL • Leeds United U21: WLWLWDDLWLLLLDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Southampton U21 | Leeds United U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 16 | 34 | 8 | 16 | 24 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 9 | 18 | 27 | 15 | 18 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Southampton U21 | Leeds United U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 89% | 82% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 39% | 53% | 65% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 6% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 0% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Southampton U21 | Leeds United U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Southampton U21 | Leeds United U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Southampton U21 | Leeds United U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-2 | 0-4 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Southampton U21 | Leeds United U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 56.6% | 43.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Southampton U21 or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.44 @ Betano
Draw5.68 @ Pinnacle
Away6.00 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.51 @ Pinnacle
No2.55 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.20 @ Betfair
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Southampton U21 = 2.17 (league 1.84), Leeds United U21 = 1.08 (league 1.66)
| Leeds United U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southampton U21 | 0 | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.8% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 17.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1
