Ligue A — Burundi
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:00 • Stade de Gatwaro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.45) 1.27 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.2% 29.5% 51.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.5%
0 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Bumamuru
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flambeau du Centre 0 14.5% 18.5% 11.8% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.6% 12.1% 7.7% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 3.1% 4.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlambeau du CentreBumamuru
Played55
Form87%100%
Attack78%100%
Defense89%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flambeau du Centre Bumamuru
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins86%67%77%86%83%85%
Draws0%33%15%0%17%8%
Loses14%0%8%14%0%8%

Form: Flambeau du Centre: WWWWLWDWWWWWD • Bumamuru: WWDWWWWLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Flambeau du Centre Bumamuru
HATHAT
GF total13821171330
GF avg1.91.31.62.42.22.3
GA total516437
GA avg0.70.20.50.60.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlambeau du CentreBumamuru
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%38%92%54%
1.554%8%77%0%
2.523%0%31%0%
3.50%0%23%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlambeau du CentreBumamuru
HATHAT
Clean sheets358336
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricFlambeau du CentreBumamuru
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFlambeau du CentreBumamuru
Wins54
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-00-4
Biggest losses0-1—0-1—
Goals For3354
Goals Against2111

Model comparison

MetricFlambeau du CentreBumamuru
Form46%54%
Att37%63%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h85%15%
Goals78%22%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Double chance : Flambeau du Centre or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flambeau du Centre = 0.66 (league 1.45), Bumamuru = 1.27 (league 1.21)

Bumamuru
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flambeau du Centre 0 14.5% 18.5% 11.8% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.6% 12.1% 7.7% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 3.1% 4.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.2% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 51.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1