Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 18:00 •
Al-Awwal Park
Expected Goals
3.83 (league 1.68)
0.30 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
best score tips
3 - 0
15.1%
4 - 0
14.4%
2 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Najma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Nassr | 0 | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.1% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 14.4% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al Najma |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Attack | 100% | 21% |
| Defense | 93% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 18 | 3.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 19 | 3.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al Najma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 92% | 79% | 85% | 8% | 0% | 4% |
| Draws | 0% | 7% | 4% | 23% | 15% | 19% |
| Loses | 8% | 14% | 12% | 69% | 85% | 77% |
Form: Al-Nassr: WWWWWWWWWWDLLLWWWWWWWWWWWW • Al Najma: LLLLLLLLDLLDLLDDLDLLWLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al Najma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 38 | 71 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 8 | 11 | 19 | 31 | 30 | 61 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al-Nassr | Al Najma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 46% | 65% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | 19% | 65% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 8% | 4% | 46% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 0% | 0% | 23% |
| 4.5 | 19% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al Najma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al Najma |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al Najma |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 10 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 8 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-5 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-5 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al-Nassr | Al Najma |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 86% | 14% |
| Def | 95% | 5% |
| Poisson Distribution | 93% | 7% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 91.3% | 8.7% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Al-Nassr and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.12 @ Dafabet
Draw13.30 @ 1xBet
Away25.00 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.23 @ Betano
Under 2.54.47 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.35 @ 10Bet
No2.00 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Al-Nassr
vs
Al Najma
Expected goals
3.83
Al-Nassr xG
League Avg: 1.68
Total
4.13
0.30
Al Najma xG
League Avg: 1.41
1x2 probabilities
Home
76.1%
Draw
4.0%
Away
0.9%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 0
15.1%
Tip
4 - 0
14.4%
Tip
2 - 0
11.8%
More chances
1.5+
93%
Chance
2.5+
65%
Chance
3.5+
46%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Al-Nassr = 3.84 (league 1.68), Al Najma = 0.30 (league 1.41)
| Al Najma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Nassr | 0 | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.1% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 14.4% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.1% · Draw 4.0% · Away win 0.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1