Mon, Jan 5 2026 • 12:45 •
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
Expected Goals
2.54 (league 1.45)
1.19 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.1% | 17.4% | 15.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
3 - 1
7.8%
2 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Diriyah | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Abha | 0 | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Abha | Al Diriyah |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 80% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 86% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Abha | Al Diriyah | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 57% | 86% | 71% | 86% | 43% | 64% |
| Draws | 29% | 14% | 21% | 14% | 29% | 21% |
| Loses | 14% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 29% | 14% |
Form: Abha: DWLWWWWWWDWDWW • Al Diriyah: DWWWLDWWDWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Abha | Al Diriyah | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 15 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 31 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Abha | Al Diriyah | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 50% | 86% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | 64% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 7% | 43% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Abha | Al Diriyah | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Abha | Al Diriyah |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Abha | Al Diriyah |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | — | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Abha | Al Diriyah |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 82% | 18% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 58.3% | 41.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Abha or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.45 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Abha
vs
Al Diriyah
Expected goals
2.54
Abha xG
League Avg: 1.45
Total
3.73
1.19
Al Diriyah xG
League Avg: 1.35
1x2 probabilities
Home
62.1%
Draw
17.4%
Away
15.9%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
9.2%
Tip
3 - 1
7.8%
Tip
2 - 0
7.8%
More chances
1.5+
92%
Chance
2.5+
65%
Chance
3.5+
46%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 2
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Abha = 2.54 (league 1.45), Al Diriyah = 1.19 (league 1.35)
| Al Diriyah | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Abha | 0 | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.1% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 15.9%
vtt 9 , vtd1