Mon, Jan 5 2026 • 12:45 • Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.70 (league 1.36) 1.18 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.8% 16.1% 14.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Al Diriyah
0 1 2 3 4 5
Abha 0 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 5.5% 6.6% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.5% 8.9% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.8% 8.0% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
4 4.6% 5.4% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.5% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAbhaAl Diriyah
Played55
Form73%80%
Attack50%100%
Defense86%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.415 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Abha Al Diriyah
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%86%71%86%43%64%
Draws29%14%21%14%29%21%
Loses14%0%7%0%29%14%

Form: Abha: DWLWWWWWWDWDWW • Al Diriyah: DWWWLDWWDWLWWW

League goals

Metric Abha Al Diriyah
HATHAT
GF total161531201131
GF avg2.32.12.22.91.62.2
GA total741161117
GA avg1.00.60.80.91.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAbhaAl Diriyah
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%50%86%71%
1.579%21%64%36%
2.543%7%43%14%
3.57%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAbhaAl Diriyah
HATHAT
Clean sheets347224
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricAbhaAl Diriyah
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricAbhaAl Diriyah
Wins63
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-35-10-2
Biggest losses2-3——3-0
Goals For4353
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricAbhaAl Diriyah
Form48%52%
Att32%68%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.3%41.8%

Advice: Double chance : Abha or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.45 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Abha = 2.70 (league 1.36), Al Diriyah = 1.18 (league 1.35)

Al Diriyah
0 1 2 3 4 5
Abha 0 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 5.5% 6.6% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.5% 8.9% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.8% 8.0% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
4 4.6% 5.4% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.5% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.8% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 14.2%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1