Cittadella vs Novara

Serie C - Girone A — Italy

Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato

Match Finished

Cittadella

2 - 2

Novara

Expected Goals

0.62 (league 1.28) 0.49 (league 1.03)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
32.6%	43.7%	23.7%

best score tips

0 - 0

32.9%

1 - 0

20.5%

0 - 1

16.0%

Score & goals probability table

		Novara
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Cittadella	0	32.9%	16.0%	3.9%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	20.5%	10.0%	2.4%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	6.4%	3.1%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Cittadella	Novara
Played	5	5
Form	67%	53%
Attack	40%	50%
Defense	80%	60%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%

FT probability

2.5+

33%

FT probability

3.5+

24%

FT probability

BTTS

57%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Cittadella			Novara
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	8	9	17	9	8	17
Wins	50%	44%	47%	22%	13%	18%
Draws	25%	22%	24%	56%	75%	65%
Loses	25%	33%	29%	22%	13%	18%

Form: Cittadella: DWLLLLDDWWWWWWWDL • Novara: DDDDLDLDDWDDWWLDD

League goals

Metric	Cittadella			Novara
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	6	8	14	7	8	15
GF avg	0.8	0.9	0.8	0.8	1.0	0.9
GA total	4	8	12	7	8	15
GA avg	0.5	0.9	0.7	0.8	1.0	0.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Cittadella		Novara
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	71%	53%	71%	65%
1.5	12%	12%	18%	18%
2.5	0%	6%	0%	6%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Cittadella			Novara
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	4	8	3	3	6
Failed to score	3	2	5	3	2	5

Penalties

Metric	Cittadella	Novara
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	0

Streaks

Metric	Cittadella	Novara
Wins	7	2
Draws	2	4
Losses	4	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	1-2	1-0	0-1
Biggest losses	0-1	3-1	0-1	3-2
Goals For	2	2	2	2
Goals Against	1	3	2	3

Model comparison

Metric	Cittadella	Novara
Form	56%	44%
Att	44%	56%
Def	67%	33%
Poisson Distribution	56%	44%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	53%	47%
Total	54.3%	45.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Cittadella or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.99 @ Pinnacle

Draw3.21 @ Pinnacle

Away4.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ 188Bet

No1.81 @ Pinnacle

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Cittadella vs Novara

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Cittadella

Novara

Serie C - Girone A • Italy • Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato

Expected goals

0.62

Cittadella xG League Avg: 1.28

Total

1.11

0.49

Novara xG League Avg: 1.03

1x2 probabilities

Home

32.6%

Draw

43.7%

Away

23.7%

Best score tips

Tip

0 - 0

32.9%

Tip

1 - 0

20.5%

Tip

0 - 1

16.0%

More chances

1.5+

47%

Chance

2.5+

33%

Chance

3.5+

24%

Chance

BTTS

57%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 4

Exp.

#Cittadella #Novara #SerieCGironeA #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Cittadella = 0.62 (league 1.28), Novara = 0.49 (league 1.03)

		Novara
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Cittadella	0	32.9%	16.0%	3.9%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	20.5%	10.0%	2.4%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	6.4%	3.1%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.6% · Draw 43.7% · Away win 23.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Cittadella	Novara
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	0