Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 •
Tullio Saleri
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.28)
1.40 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.9% | 27.5% | 53.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.0%
0 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Vicenza Virtus | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lumezzane | 0 | 12.1% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lumezzane | Vicenza Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 73% |
| Attack | 27% | 40% |
| Defense | 87% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lumezzane | Vicenza Virtus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 22% | 30% | 26% | 100% | 56% | 79% |
| Draws | 44% | 30% | 37% | 0% | 44% | 21% |
| Loses | 33% | 40% | 37% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Lumezzane: LLLLWWLLLDDDDWWDWDD • Vicenza Virtus: WDWWWWWWWWDWWWDWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Lumezzane | Vicenza Virtus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 11 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 11 | 14 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lumezzane | Vicenza Virtus | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 68% | 95% | 47% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 37% | 53% | 5% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 16% | 16% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lumezzane | Vicenza Virtus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lumezzane | Vicenza Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lumezzane | Vicenza Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-1 | 5-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lumezzane | Vicenza Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 38.8% | 61.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Vicenza Virtus and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home5.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away1.68 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.25 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Lumezzane
vs
Vicenza Virtus
Expected goals
0.71
Lumezzane xG
League Avg: 1.28
Total
2.11
1.40
Vicenza Virtus xG
League Avg: 1.03
1x2 probabilities
Home
18.9%
Draw
27.5%
Away
53.3%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
17.0%
Tip
0 - 0
12.1%
Tip
1 - 1
12.0%
More chances
1.5+
64%
Chance
2.5+
45%
Chance
3.5+
32%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Lumezzane = 0.71 (league 1.28), Vicenza Virtus = 1.40 (league 1.03)
| Vicenza Virtus | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lumezzane | 0 | 12.1% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.9% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 53.3%
vtt 2 , vtd1