Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 16:30 • Tullio Saleri
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.26) 0.70 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.9% 22.8% 14.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Pro Patria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lumezzane 0 8.6% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.1% 10.5% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.8% 5.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLumezzanePro Patria
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack100%100%
Defense60%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lumezzane Pro Patria
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins33%31%32%13%7%10%
Draws33%38%35%38%27%32%
Loses33%31%32%50%67%58%

Form: Lumezzane: LLLLWWLLLDDDDWWDWDDDWWLWLDWWDLD • Pro Patria: LDLDLLDDLWDLDLWLLLLLLLLLDWLLDDD

League goals

Metric Lumezzane Pro Patria
HATHAT
GF total191433131124
GF avg1.30.91.10.80.70.8
GA total151833302555
GA avg1.01.11.11.91.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLumezzanePro Patria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%61%52%81%
1.523%29%23%65%
2.510%10%3%26%
3.50%3%0%6%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLumezzanePro Patria
HATHAT
Clean sheets5712336
Failed to score2688715

Penalties

MetricLumezzanePro Patria
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricLumezzanePro Patria
Wins21
Draws42
Losses49

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-10-1
Biggest losses2-35-00-43-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3543

Model comparison

MetricLumezzanePro Patria
Form73%27%
Att50%50%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%62%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lumezzane or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ Betano
Draw3.45 @ Betano
Away5.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ Marathonbet
No1.70 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lumezzane = 1.76 (league 1.26), Pro Patria = 0.70 (league 1.01)

Pro Patria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lumezzane 0 8.6% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.1% 10.5% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.8% 5.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.9% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 14.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1