Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 16:30 •
Tullio Saleri
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.28)
0.68 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.6% | 23.2% | 14.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
2 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Pro Patria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lumezzane | 0 | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.4% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lumezzane | Pro Patria |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 20% |
| Attack | 42% | 42% |
| Defense | 83% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lumezzane | Pro Patria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 33% | 31% | 32% | 13% | 7% | 10% |
| Draws | 33% | 38% | 35% | 38% | 27% | 32% |
| Loses | 33% | 31% | 32% | 50% | 67% | 58% |
Form: Lumezzane: LLLLWWLLLDDDDWWDWDDDWWLWLDWWDLD • Pro Patria: LDLDLLDDLWDLDLWLLLLLLLLLDWLLDDD
League goals
| Metric | Lumezzane | Pro Patria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 14 | 33 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 15 | 18 | 33 | 30 | 25 | 55 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lumezzane | Pro Patria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 61% | 52% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 29% | 23% | 65% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 3% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lumezzane | Pro Patria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lumezzane | Pro Patria |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lumezzane | Pro Patria |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lumezzane | Pro Patria |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 58.5% | 41.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Lumezzane or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.76 @ 188Bet
Draw3.50 @ Pinnacle
Away4.84 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.83 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Lumezzane
vs
Pro Patria
Expected goals
1.72
Lumezzane xG
League Avg: 1.28
Total
2.40
0.68
Pro Patria xG
League Avg: 1.03
1x2 probabilities
Home
61.6%
Draw
23.2%
Away
14.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
15.6%
Tip
2 - 0
13.4%
Tip
1 - 1
10.6%
More chances
1.5+
68%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
65%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Lumezzane = 1.72 (league 1.28), Pro Patria = 0.68 (league 1.03)
| Pro Patria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lumezzane | 0 | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.4% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.6% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 14.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1