Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 15:30 •
Citta di Arezzo
Expected Goals
2.13 (league 1.20)
0.52 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.8% | 17.3% | 7.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.1%
1 - 0
15.1%
3 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Livorno | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arezzo | 0 | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 7.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.4% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arezzo | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 70% | 70% |
| Defense | 70% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arezzo | Livorno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 18 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 34 |
| Wins | 63% | 67% | 65% | 44% | 19% | 32% |
| Draws | 19% | 28% | 24% | 22% | 19% | 21% |
| Loses | 19% | 6% | 12% | 33% | 63% | 47% |
Form: Arezzo: WWWWLWWWWWDWDWWWLDDWWWWDWWWDLWDWLD • Livorno: WLLLLWDLLWLLLDWDWDLLWWLWWLWDLDDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Arezzo | Livorno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 31 | 56 | 26 | 11 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 13 | 9 | 22 | 23 | 26 | 49 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arezzo | Livorno | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 44% | 71% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 18% | 32% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 3% | 6% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arezzo | Livorno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 12 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arezzo | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 8 | 100.00% | 8 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 8 | 8 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arezzo | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arezzo | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 65% | 35% |
| Total | 67.0% | 33.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Arezzo or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.38 @ Bet365
Draw4.60 @ Dafabet
Away9.71 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.36 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Arezzo
vs
Livorno
Expected goals
2.13
Arezzo xG
League Avg: 1.20
Total
2.64
0.52
Livorno xG
League Avg: 1.09
1x2 probabilities
Home
72.8%
Draw
17.3%
Away
7.7%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
16.1%
Tip
1 - 0
15.1%
Tip
3 - 0
11.4%
More chances
1.5+
67%
Chance
2.5+
47%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
65%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Arezzo = 2.13 (league 1.20), Livorno = 0.52 (league 1.09)
| Livorno | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arezzo | 0 | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 7.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.4% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.8% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 7.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1