Mon, Jan 12 2026 • 19:30 •
Stadio Arechi
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.51)
1.15 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.2% | 29.5% | 39.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.5%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Cosenza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Salernitana | 0 | 11.8% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Salernitana | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 71% |
| Defense | 0% | 14% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Salernitana | Cosenza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 60% | 50% | 55% | 70% | 30% | 50% |
| Draws | 30% | 20% | 25% | 0% | 60% | 30% |
| Loses | 10% | 30% | 20% | 30% | 10% | 20% |
Form: Salernitana: WWWWWLDWWLWDDWDLDWWL • Cosenza: DLDWDWWWLDWDWWWLWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Salernitana | Cosenza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 13 | 28 | 22 | 12 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 10 | 16 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Salernitana | Cosenza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 75% | 90% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 30% | 45% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 15% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 15% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Salernitana | Cosenza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Salernitana | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Salernitana | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-2 | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Salernitana | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 57.7% | 42.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Salernitana or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.12 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.99 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Salernitana = 0.99 (league 1.51), Cosenza = 1.15 (league 1.05)
| Cosenza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Salernitana | 0 | 11.8% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.2% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 39.1%
vtt 7 , vtd1
