Mon, Jan 12 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Arechi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.52) 1.12 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.6% 29.8% 38.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.7%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Cosenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 12.2% 13.7% 7.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.0% 13.4% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.9% 6.6% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalernitanaCosenza
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack100%71%
Defense0%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Salernitana Cosenza
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins60%50%55%70%30%50%
Draws30%20%25%0%60%30%
Loses10%30%20%30%10%20%

Form: Salernitana: WWWWWLDWWLWDDWDLDWWL • Cosenza: DLDWDWWWLDWDWWWLWDWL

League goals

Metric Salernitana Cosenza
HATHAT
GF total151328221234
GF avg1.51.31.42.21.21.7
GA total101626111021
GA avg1.01.61.31.11.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalernitanaCosenza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%75%90%75%
1.550%30%45%30%
2.55%15%20%0%
3.50%5%15%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalernitanaCosenza
HATHAT
Clean sheets325235
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricSalernitanaCosenza
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricSalernitanaCosenza
Wins53
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-24-11-2
Biggest losses2-35-10-22-1
Goals For3242
Goals Against3522

Model comparison

MetricSalernitanaCosenza
Form50%50%
Att58%42%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h85%15%
Goals70%30%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Salernitana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.99 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Salernitana = 0.98 (league 1.52), Cosenza = 1.12 (league 1.07)

Cosenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 12.2% 13.7% 7.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.0% 13.4% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.9% 6.6% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.6% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 38.4%

vtt 5 , vtd1