Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 16:30 •
Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.51)
2.14 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.6% | 19.7% | 62.4% |
best score tips
0 - 2
10.4%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Crotone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AZ Picerno | 0 | 4.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AZ Picerno | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 87% |
| Attack | 46% | 77% |
| Defense | 69% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AZ Picerno | Crotone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 17% | 29% | 23% | 54% | 38% | 46% |
| Draws | 42% | 21% | 31% | 8% | 31% | 19% |
| Loses | 42% | 50% | 46% | 38% | 31% | 35% |
Form: AZ Picerno: DDWLLDWLLLLDLLWLLLDDWDDWLW • Crotone: LWDDWWLWWLLLDWLWLWDLLWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | AZ Picerno | Crotone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 16 | 30 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 17 | 25 | 42 | 8 | 15 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AZ Picerno | Crotone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 85% | 69% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 54% | 46% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 12% | 23% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AZ Picerno | Crotone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | AZ Picerno | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | AZ Picerno | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 6-2 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AZ Picerno | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Crotone
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.80 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away2.07 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
AZ Picerno
vs
Crotone
Expected goals
0.95
AZ Picerno xG
League Avg: 1.51
Total
3.09
2.14
Crotone xG
League Avg: 1.05
1x2 probabilities
Home
15.6%
Draw
19.7%
Away
62.4%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 2
10.4%
Tip
1 - 2
9.9%
Tip
0 - 1
9.7%
More chances
1.5+
75%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): AZ Picerno = 0.95 (league 1.51), Crotone = 2.14 (league 1.05)
| Crotone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AZ Picerno | 0 | 4.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.6% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 62.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1