Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 14:00 •
Memorial Field
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.53)
1.34 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.8% | 27.9% | 47.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.4%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Brightlingsea Regent | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Downham Town | 0 | 10.7% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Downham Town | Brightlingsea Regent |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 25% | 8% |
| Defense | 67% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Downham Town | Brightlingsea Regent | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 20 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| Wins | 21% | 20% | 21% | 45% | 26% | 36% |
| Draws | 37% | 20% | 28% | 15% | 26% | 21% |
| Loses | 42% | 60% | 51% | 40% | 47% | 44% |
Form: Downham Town: WLLDLLLWWLLLLLDWDLLLLDDLLLDDWWLDLDLWDWD • Brightlingsea Regent: LLLWLLDLWDWWLLWWWWWDDDWLLDLLWWLLWDDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Downham Town | Brightlingsea Regent | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 22 | 38 | 33 | 20 | 53 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 28 | 37 | 65 | 25 | 33 | 58 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Downham Town | Brightlingsea Regent | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 82% | 64% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 51% | 41% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 21% | 26% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 5% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Downham Town | Brightlingsea Regent | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Downham Town | Brightlingsea Regent |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Downham Town | Brightlingsea Regent |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Downham Town | Brightlingsea Regent |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 60.3% | 39.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Downham Town or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Downham Town
vs
Brightlingsea Regent
Expected goals
0.89
Downham Town xG
League Avg: 1.53
Total
2.24
1.34
Brightlingsea Regent xG
League Avg: 1.23
1x2 probabilities
Home
24.8%
Draw
27.9%
Away
47.0%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
14.4%
Tip
1 - 1
12.8%
Tip
0 - 0
10.7%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
54%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Downham Town = 0.89 (league 1.53), Brightlingsea Regent = 1.34 (league 1.23)
| Brightlingsea Regent | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Downham Town | 0 | 10.7% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.8% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 47.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1