Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Ensenada
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.53)
1.77 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.7% | 22.9% | 60.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.1%
0 - 2
12.4%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Leones Negros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ensenada | 0 | 8.0% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ensenada | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 60% |
| Attack | 27% | 53% |
| Defense | 27% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ensenada | Leones Negros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 30% | 40% | 35% | 70% | 40% | 55% |
| Draws | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Loses | 60% | 50% | 55% | 20% | 50% | 35% |
Form: Ensenada: LWWDWWLLWLLWDLLLLLLW • Leones Negros: DLDWWLWWLWWWLLWLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Ensenada | Leones Negros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 12 | 21 | 17 | 13 | 30 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 16 | 19 | 35 | 7 | 13 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ensenada | Leones Negros | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 65% | 65% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 45% | 50% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 35% | 25% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ensenada | Leones Negros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ensenada | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ensenada | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 7-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 7 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ensenada | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 21% | 79% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 27.5% | 72.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Leones Negros
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Ensenada
vs
Leones Negros
Expected goals
0.76
Ensenada xG
League Avg: 1.53
Total
2.53
1.77
Leones Negros xG
League Avg: 1.18
1x2 probabilities
Home
15.7%
Draw
22.9%
Away
60.4%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
14.1%
Tip
0 - 2
12.4%
Tip
1 - 1
10.7%
More chances
1.5+
75%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Ensenada = 0.76 (league 1.53), Leones Negros = 1.77 (league 1.18)
| Leones Negros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ensenada | 0 | 8.0% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.7% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 60.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1