Tue, Dec 23 2025 • 15:00 •
Lafia Township Stadium
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.48)
0.34 (league 0.58)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0% | 23.0% | 7.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.7%
2 - 0
18.4%
0 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Barau FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nasarawa United | 0 | 14.0% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.7% | 7.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.4% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nasarawa United | Barau FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 38% | 54% |
| Defense | 85% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nasarawa United | Barau FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 88% | 22% | 53% | 44% | 13% | 29% |
| Draws | 13% | 33% | 24% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 44% | 24% | 22% | 63% | 41% |
Form: Nasarawa United: LWDWWWWWLLWDDWLWD • Barau FC: DLDLWLLWLDDWLWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Nasarawa United | Barau FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nasarawa United | Barau FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 53% | 41% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 6% | 29% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 0% | 18% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nasarawa United | Barau FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nasarawa United | Barau FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nasarawa United | Barau FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nasarawa United | Barau FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 64.0% | 36.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Nasarawa United or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Unibet
Away9.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.48 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes3.15 @ Unibet
No1.42 @ Superbet
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nasarawa United = 1.62 (league 1.48), Barau FC = 0.34 (league 0.58)
| Barau FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nasarawa United | 0 | 14.0% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.7% | 7.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.4% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.0% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 7.4%
vtt 5 , vtd1
