Mon, Dec 15 2025 • 10:00 • Quba OIK stadionu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.25) 0.84 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.3% 29.4% 25.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Karvan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mil-Muğan 0 12.6% 10.5% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.5% 13.0% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.6% 8.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMil-MuğanKarvan
Played55
Form20%0%
Attack20%27%
Defense40%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mil-Muğan Karvan
HATHAT
Played68148614
Wins17%50%36%0%17%7%
Draws50%0%21%13%17%14%
Loses33%50%43%88%67%79%

Form: Mil-Muğan: LDWWWDLDWLLWLL • Karvan: DWLLLDLLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Mil-Muğan Karvan
HATHAT
GF total410145510
GF avg0.71.31.00.60.80.7
GA total7815181331
GA avg1.21.01.12.32.22.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMil-MuğanKarvan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%64%50%93%
1.529%36%14%86%
2.521%7%7%36%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMil-MuğanKarvan
HATHAT
Clean sheets235011
Failed to score347437

Penalties

MetricMil-MuğanKarvan
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMil-MuğanKarvan
Wins31
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-32-3
Biggest losses0-32-00-34-1
Goals For2323
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricMil-MuğanKarvan
Form100%0%
Att43%57%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals62%38%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : Mil-Muğan or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away4.95 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Pinnacle
No1.82 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mil-Muğan = 1.23 (league 1.25), Karvan = 0.84 (league 1.14)

Karvan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mil-Muğan 0 12.6% 10.5% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.5% 13.0% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.6% 8.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 25.2%

vtt 6 , vtd1