NPFL — Nigeria
Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 15:00 • El-Kanemi Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.48) 0.34 (league 0.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.3% 36.7% 12.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.0%
1 - 0
26.1%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Nasarawa United
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Kanemi Warriors 0 27.0% 9.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.1% 9.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.6% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEl Kanemi WarriorsNasarawa United
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack43%86%
Defense0%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-2
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric El Kanemi Warriors Nasarawa United
HATHAT
Played151732171633
Wins67%6%34%65%19%42%
Draws33%12%22%24%25%24%
Loses0%82%44%12%56%33%

Form: El Kanemi Warriors: WDDLWLWLWLDLWLLDLWWWLWDWLWLLDLDL • Nasarawa United: LWDWWWWWLLWDDWLWDDLLWWDDDLWLWLWLL

League goals

Metric El Kanemi Warriors Nasarawa United
HATHAT
GF total1962523831
GF avg1.30.40.81.40.50.9
GA total6323891827
GA avg0.41.91.20.51.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEl Kanemi WarriorsNasarawa United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%59%61%67%
1.522%38%24%12%
2.53%22%6%3%
3.50%0%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEl Kanemi WarriorsNasarawa United
HATHAT
Clean sheets103138311
Failed to score3121531013

Penalties

MetricEl Kanemi WarriorsNasarawa United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricEl Kanemi WarriorsNasarawa United
Wins35
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-14-11-2
Biggest losses—3-00-13-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricEl Kanemi WarriorsNasarawa United
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h80%20%
Goals53%47%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nasarawa United and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

El Kanemi Warriors
vs
Nasarawa United
NPFL • Nigeria • Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 15:00 • El-Kanemi Stadium
Expected goals
0.97
El Kanemi Warriors xG League Avg: 1.48
Total
1.31
0.34
Nasarawa United xG League Avg: 0.58
1x2 probabilities
Home
50.3%
Draw
36.7%
Away
12.9%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
27.0%
Tip
1 - 0
26.1%
Tip
2 - 0
12.6%
More chances
1.5+
50%
Chance
2.5+
35%
Chance
3.5+
25%
Chance
BTTS
54%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 2
Exp.
#ElKanemiWarriors #NasarawaUnited #Npfl #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): El Kanemi Warriors = 0.97 (league 1.48), Nasarawa United = 0.34 (league 0.58)

Nasarawa United
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Kanemi Warriors 0 27.0% 9.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.1% 9.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.6% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.3% · Draw 36.7% · Away win 12.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1