Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:30 • MFA Centenary Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.63) 1.13 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 24.7% 26.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Marsa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birzebbuga 0 6.4% 7.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.4% 11.7% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.5% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.5% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirzebbugaMarsa
Played55
Form100%33%
Attack100%78%
Defense33%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)18 | 3.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birzebbuga Marsa
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%75%75%0%50%25%
Draws0%0%0%25%25%25%
Loses25%25%25%75%25%50%

Form: Birzebbuga: WLLWWWWW • Marsa: LWLDDLLW

League goals

Metric Birzebbuga Marsa
HATHAT
GF total138216511
GF avg3.32.02.61.51.31.4
GA total641011314
GA avg1.51.01.32.80.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirzebbugaMarsa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%88%88%
1.575%38%50%50%
2.550%0%0%38%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirzebbugaMarsa
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricBirzebbugaMarsa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBirzebbugaMarsa
Wins11
Draws02
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-20-3—0-2
Biggest losses0-11-01-31-0
Goals For8322
Goals Against2231

Model comparison

MetricBirzebbugaMarsa
Form75%25%
Att72%28%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total65.5%34.5%

Advice: Double chance : Birzebbuga or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Betano
Draw4.45 @ Superbet
Away5.80 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Superbet
No2.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Birzebbuga = 1.62 (league 1.63), Marsa = 1.13 (league 1.73)

Marsa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birzebbuga 0 6.4% 7.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.4% 11.7% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.5% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.5% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 26.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1