Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:30 •
MFA Centenary Stadium
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.62)
0.87 (league 1.72)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.7% | 27.0% | 22.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Marsa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Birzebbuga | 0 | 10.0% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 12.5% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.2% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Birzebbuga | Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 13% |
| Attack | 89% | 33% |
| Defense | 67% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Birzebbuga | Marsa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 75% | 67% | 71% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 25% | 33% | 29% | 75% | 33% | 57% |
Form: Birzebbuga: WLLWWWW • Marsa: LWLDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Birzebbuga | Marsa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 6 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 3.3 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Birzebbuga | Marsa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 86% | 86% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 43% | 43% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 0% | 0% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Birzebbuga | Marsa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Birzebbuga | Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Birzebbuga | Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-2 | 0-3 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Birzebbuga | Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 70.5% | 29.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Birzebbuga or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Birzebbuga = 1.43 (league 1.62), Marsa = 0.87 (league 1.72)
| Marsa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Birzebbuga | 0 | 10.0% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 12.5% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.2% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.7% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 22.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1