Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 20:00 • Allianz Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.80) 0.87 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.5% 17.1% 11.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Union St. Gilloise
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 3.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.3% 8.0% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.6% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.7% 7.6% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.2% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayern MünchenUnion St. Gilloise
Played55
Form80%20%
Attack100%31%
Defense54%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 34 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.214 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayern München Union St. Gilloise
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins100%67%83%0%67%33%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%17%100%33%67%

Form: Bayern München: WWWWLW • Union St. Gilloise: WLLLWL

League goals

Metric Bayern München Union St. Gilloise
HATHAT
GF total10818257
GF avg3.32.73.00.71.71.2
GA total25711415
GA avg0.71.71.23.71.32.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayern MünchenUnion St. Gilloise
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%83%67%83%
1.583%17%33%67%
2.567%17%17%67%
3.533%0%0%33%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayern MünchenUnion St. Gilloise
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricBayern MünchenUnion St. Gilloise
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBayern MünchenUnion St. Gilloise
Wins41
Draws00
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-51-3
Biggest losses3-10-43-1
Goals For4523
Goals Against1343

Model comparison

MetricBayern MünchenUnion St. Gilloise
Form80%20%
Att79%21%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total75.8%24.3%

Advice: Winner : Bayern München

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.14 @ Betano
Draw12.00 @ Betfair
Away24.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.29 @ Betano
Under 2.54.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Unibet
No1.90 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayern München = 2.38 (league 1.80), Union St. Gilloise = 0.87 (league 1.37)

Union St. Gilloise
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 3.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.3% 8.0% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.6% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.7% 7.6% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.2% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.5% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 11.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1