Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 15:45 •
Sportcampus Diekman
Expected Goals
2.25 (league 1.87)
0.51 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5% | 16.0% | 6.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.1%
1 - 0
14.3%
3 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Excelsior W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Twente W | 0 | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.1% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.0% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Twente W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 13% |
| Attack | 69% | 31% |
| Defense | 75% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Twente W | Excelsior W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 50% | 86% | 73% | 0% | 17% | 8% |
| Draws | 50% | 14% | 27% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 83% | 67% | 75% |
Form: Twente W: WWWWDWWWDDW • Excelsior W: LLWLLLLLDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Twente W | Excelsior W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 22 | 33 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Twente W | Excelsior W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 64% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 73% | 9% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 0% | 8% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 36% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Twente W | Excelsior W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Twente W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Twente W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-5 | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Twente W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 85% | 15% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 81% | 19% |
| Total | 80.0% | 20.0% |
Advice: Winner : Twente W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Twente W = 2.25 (league 1.87), Excelsior W = 0.51 (league 1.58)
| Excelsior W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Twente W | 0 | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.1% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.0% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.5% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 6.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1