Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 19:30 •
Giuseppe Sivori
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.28)
0.79 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.9% | 24.5% | 18.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Lavagnese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sestri Levante | 0 | 8.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 11.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Lavagnese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 13% |
| Attack | 50% | 33% |
| Defense | 75% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Lavagnese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 33% | 69% | 52% | 15% | 17% | 16% |
| Draws | 25% | 31% | 28% | 46% | 33% | 40% |
| Loses | 42% | 0% | 20% | 38% | 50% | 44% |
Form: Sestri Levante: LWLWDWWLDDWDWDDWWWWWWLWLD • Lavagnese: WDDLDWLDDWDLDLWLLLLDDLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Lavagnese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 27 | 44 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 13 | 8 | 21 | 15 | 18 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sestri Levante | Lavagnese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 68% | 64% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 4% | 20% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 28% | 4% | 0% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Lavagnese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Lavagnese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Lavagnese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-5 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | — | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Lavagnese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 78% | 22% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 68.8% | 31.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Sestri Levante or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.62 @ Betano
Draw3.85 @ Pinnacle
Away7.85 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.22 @ Marathonbet
No1.56 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Sestri Levante
vs
Lavagnese
Expected goals
1.64
Sestri Levante xG
League Avg: 1.28
Total
2.43
0.79
Lavagnese xG
League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
56.9%
Draw
24.5%
Away
18.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
14.4%
Tip
2 - 0
11.8%
Tip
1 - 1
11.4%
More chances
1.5+
68%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Sestri Levante = 1.64 (league 1.28), Lavagnese = 0.79 (league 1.11)
| Lavagnese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sestri Levante | 0 | 8.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 11.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.9% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 18.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1