Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Via Felluga
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.28) 0.90 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.9% 35.1% 38.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.2%
0 - 1
18.1%
1 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Mestre
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Luigi 0 20.2% 18.1% 8.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 12.7% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.0% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan LuigiMestre
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack55%18%
Defense27%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Luigi Mestre
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%11%24%33%50%41%
Draws38%22%29%67%13%41%
Loses25%67%47%0%38%18%

Form: San Luigi: DWLDDLLWLDLLLWLDW • Mestre: DWWDLWDDWWWLDDWDL

League goals

Metric San Luigi Mestre
HATHAT
GF total891710818
GF avg1.01.01.01.11.01.1
GA total818264711
GA avg1.02.01.50.40.90.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan LuigiMestre
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%76%65%47%
1.524%47%29%18%
2.50%24%12%0%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan LuigiMestre
HATHAT
Clean sheets404639
Failed to score224336

Penalties

MetricSan LuigiMestre
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricSan LuigiMestre
Wins13
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-02-3
Biggest losses0-34-0—1-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricSan LuigiMestre
Form54%46%
Att75%25%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total43.8%56.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mestre and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Betfair
Draw3.36 @ Pinnacle
Away2.25 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Betfair
No1.85 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): San Luigi = 0.70 (league 1.28), Mestre = 0.90 (league 1.12)

Mestre
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Luigi 0 20.2% 18.1% 8.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 12.7% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.0% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 38.0%

vtt 2 , vtd1