Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Tre Stelle
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.20)
0.47 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8% | 21.9% | 9.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.1%
2 - 0
16.6%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Sasso Marconi Zola | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desenzano Calvina | 0 | 11.0% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 8.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.6% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Sasso Marconi Zola |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Attack | 36% | 29% |
| Defense | 86% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Sasso Marconi Zola | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 60% | 73% | 67% | 33% | 13% | 23% |
| Draws | 27% | 20% | 23% | 7% | 33% | 20% |
| Loses | 13% | 7% | 10% | 60% | 53% | 57% |
Form: Desenzano Calvina: LDWDWLWWWDDWWWWWLWWWWWDWWDWWDW • Sasso Marconi Zola: LWLLLWLLDWWDLLLWLWDLDLDLLLDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Sasso Marconi Zola | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 23 | 52 | 19 | 9 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 13 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Desenzano Calvina | Sasso Marconi Zola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 53% | 60% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 10% | 27% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 3% | 7% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Sasso Marconi Zola | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Sasso Marconi Zola |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Sasso Marconi Zola |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Sasso Marconi Zola |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 72.6% | 27.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Desenzano Calvina or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.40 @ 10Bet
Draw4.00 @ Dafabet
Away9.70 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.94 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.75 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.31 @ Marathonbet
No1.52 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Desenzano Calvina
vs
Sasso Marconi Zola
Expected goals
1.74
Desenzano Calvina xG
League Avg: 1.20
Total
2.21
0.47
Sasso Marconi Zola xG
League Avg: 1.15
1x2 probabilities
Home
67.8%
Draw
21.9%
Away
9.4%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
19.1%
Tip
2 - 0
16.6%
Tip
0 - 0
11.0%
More chances
1.5+
66%
Chance
2.5+
46%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Desenzano Calvina = 1.74 (league 1.20), Sasso Marconi Zola = 0.47 (league 1.15)
| Sasso Marconi Zola | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desenzano Calvina | 0 | 11.0% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 8.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.6% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.8% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 9.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1