Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 17:00 •
Stadio Comunale Progresso
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.20)
0.87 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.3% | 36.3% | 38.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
22.2%
0 - 1
19.2%
1 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Correggese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Progresso | 0 | 22.2% | 19.2% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Progresso | Correggese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Progresso | Correggese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 20% | 33% | 27% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Draws | 27% | 20% | 23% | 33% | 27% | 30% |
| Loses | 53% | 47% | 50% | 33% | 53% | 43% |
Form: Progresso: LLDLLWLDDLDLWWLWWWWDLLLDDLLLLW • Correggese: LWDDDDWDDLLWLLDDLLWLLLWLLWLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Progresso | Correggese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 20 | 30 | 17 | 15 | 32 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 15 | 23 | 38 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Progresso | Correggese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 77% | 67% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 23% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 13% | 7% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Progresso | Correggese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Progresso | Correggese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Progresso | Correggese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Progresso | Correggese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 23% | 77% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 37.5% | 62.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Correggese
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.25 @ Bet365
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away4.00 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.96 @ Marathonbet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Progresso
vs
Correggese
Expected goals
0.64
Progresso xG
League Avg: 1.20
Total
1.51
0.87
Correggese xG
League Avg: 1.15
1x2 probabilities
Home
25.3%
Draw
36.3%
Away
38.4%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
22.2%
Tip
0 - 1
19.2%
Tip
1 - 0
14.2%
More chances
1.5+
59%
Chance
2.5+
42%
Chance
3.5+
30%
Chance
BTTS
61%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Progresso = 0.64 (league 1.20), Correggese = 0.87 (league 1.15)
| Correggese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Progresso | 0 | 22.2% | 19.2% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.3% · Draw 36.3% · Away win 38.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1