Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 13:00 •
Immergas Stadium - Levantini
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.20)
0.34 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.8% | 19.1% | 5.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.5%
2 - 0
19.2%
3 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Progresso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lentigione | 0 | 11.0% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.5% | 6.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.2% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.0% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lentigione | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lentigione | Progresso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 67% | 69% | 68% | 19% | 33% | 26% |
| Draws | 27% | 13% | 19% | 31% | 20% | 26% |
| Loses | 7% | 19% | 13% | 50% | 47% | 48% |
Form: Lentigione: WLWWWWDWLLWDWWWWWWDWWLDWWWDDWWW • Progresso: LLDLLWLDDLDLWWLWWWWDLLLDDLLLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Lentigione | Progresso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 23 | 46 | 11 | 20 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 23 | 39 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lentigione | Progresso | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 45% | 58% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 6% | 32% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 6% | 10% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lentigione | Progresso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 11 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lentigione | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lentigione | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lentigione | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 72.3% | 27.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Lentigione or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Lentigione
vs
Progresso
Expected goals
1.87
Lentigione xG
League Avg: 1.20
Total
2.21
0.34
Progresso xG
League Avg: 1.15
1x2 probabilities
Home
73.8%
Draw
19.1%
Away
5.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
20.5%
Tip
2 - 0
19.2%
Tip
3 - 0
12.0%
More chances
1.5+
64%
Chance
2.5+
45%
Chance
3.5+
32%
Chance
BTTS
60%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Lentigione = 1.87 (league 1.20), Progresso = 0.34 (league 1.15)
| Progresso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lentigione | 0 | 11.0% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.5% | 6.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.2% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.0% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.8% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 5.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1