Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Lorenzo Casini
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.25)
0.49 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.6% | 41.4% | 22.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
29.9%
1 - 0
21.5%
0 - 1
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Robur Siena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting Trestina | 0 | 29.9% | 14.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.5% | 10.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Robur Siena |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 7% |
| Attack | 46% | 8% |
| Defense | 54% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Robur Siena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 50% | 13% | 31% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Draws | 13% | 50% | 31% | 13% | 38% | 25% |
| Loses | 38% | 38% | 38% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
Form: Sporting Trestina: LWLLDLWDLWWDDDWL • Robur Siena: LWWDWWWWDDLLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Robur Siena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 4 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sporting Trestina | Robur Siena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 63% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 19% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Robur Siena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Robur Siena |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Robur Siena |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Robur Siena |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 86% | 14% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 72.3% | 27.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Sporting Trestina or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.10 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.75 @ 1xBet
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sporting Trestina = 0.72 (league 1.25), Robur Siena = 0.49 (league 1.02)
| Robur Siena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting Trestina | 0 | 29.9% | 14.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.5% | 10.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.6% · Draw 41.4% · Away win 22.1%
vtt 2 , vtd1
