Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Lorenzo Casini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.26) 0.49 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.4% 41.5% 22.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.0%
1 - 0
21.4%
0 - 1
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Robur Siena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Trestina 0 30.0% 14.7% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.4% 10.5% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.6% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting TrestinaRobur Siena
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack46%8%
Defense54%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting Trestina Robur Siena
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins50%13%31%38%38%38%
Draws13%50%31%13%38%25%
Loses38%38%38%50%25%38%

Form: Sporting Trestina: LWLLDLWDLWWDDDWL • Robur Siena: LWWDWWWWDDLLDLLL

League goals

Metric Sporting Trestina Robur Siena
HATHAT
GF total89176814
GF avg1.01.11.10.81.00.9
GA total411158715
GA avg0.51.40.91.00.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting TrestinaRobur Siena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%63%56%
1.525%19%25%25%
2.56%0%0%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting TrestinaRobur Siena
HATHAT
Clean sheets404437
Failed to score314516

Penalties

MetricSporting TrestinaRobur Siena
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSporting TrestinaRobur Siena
Wins24
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-12-10-33-1
Goals For3222
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricSporting TrestinaRobur Siena
Form86%14%
Att86%14%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total72.3%27.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sporting Trestina or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.75 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sporting Trestina = 0.71 (league 1.26), Robur Siena = 0.49 (league 1.02)

Robur Siena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Trestina 0 30.0% 14.7% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.4% 10.5% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.6% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.4% · Draw 41.5% · Away win 22.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1