Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.26) 1.27 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.1% 28.6% 44.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.1%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Prato
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montevarchi Calcio 0 11.1% 14.1% 9.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.3% 13.1% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.8% 6.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontevarchi CalcioPrato
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack38%54%
Defense85%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montevarchi Calcio Prato
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%38%31%88%25%56%
Draws50%13%31%0%13%6%
Loses25%50%38%13%63%38%

Form: Montevarchi Calcio: LDLWDDLWDLLWDLWW • Prato: LLWLWWWLWDWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Montevarchi Calcio Prato
HATHAT
GF total791616824
GF avg0.91.11.02.01.01.5
GA total10132361016
GA avg1.31.61.40.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontevarchi CalcioPrato
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%69%75%75%
1.525%38%63%19%
2.513%25%13%6%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontevarchi CalcioPrato
HATHAT
Clean sheets235224
Failed to score336134

Penalties

MetricMontevarchi CalcioPrato
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricMontevarchi CalcioPrato
Wins13
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-23-10-2
Biggest losses0-43-00-13-2
Goals For3332
Goals Against4413

Model comparison

MetricMontevarchi CalcioPrato
Form53%47%
Att42%58%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total47.6%52.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Prato and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ Superbet
Away2.45 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.88 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Superbet
No2.07 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montevarchi Calcio = 0.93 (league 1.26), Prato = 1.27 (league 1.02)

Prato
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montevarchi Calcio 0 11.1% 14.1% 9.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.3% 13.1% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.8% 6.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.1% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 44.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1