Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Romeo Malservisi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.27) 1.31 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.6% 28.7% 49.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.6%
0 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Prato
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gavorrano 0 12.7% 16.6% 10.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.6% 12.6% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.6% 4.7% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGavorranoPrato
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack58%42%
Defense8%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gavorrano Prato
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins20%36%29%70%27%48%
Draws20%27%24%10%18%14%
Loses60%36%48%20%55%38%

Form: Gavorrano: WWDLLLDLLLWLWDDWLWLDL • Prato: LLWLWWWLWDWWLWLWDWLLD

League goals

Metric Gavorrano Prato
HATHAT
GF total81523191029
GF avg0.81.41.11.90.91.4
GA total151631101323
GA avg1.51.51.51.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGavorranoPrato
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%86%71%76%
1.524%33%57%29%
2.510%10%10%5%
3.510%10%0%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGavorranoPrato
HATHAT
Clean sheets123235
Failed to score437156

Penalties

MetricGavorranoPrato
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricGavorranoPrato
Wins23
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-43-10-2
Biggest losses2-46-11-22-0
Goals For2432
Goals Against4623

Model comparison

MetricGavorranoPrato
Form44%56%
Att58%42%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h36%64%
Goals38%63%
Total41.5%58.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Prato

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.15 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Superbet
No1.87 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gavorrano = 0.76 (league 1.27), Prato = 1.31 (league 1.03)

Prato
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gavorrano 0 12.7% 16.6% 10.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.6% 12.6% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.6% 4.7% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.6% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 49.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1