Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.32) 1.02 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.7% 26.8% 27.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.4%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Recanatese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notaresco 0 8.8% 9.0% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.4% 12.7% 6.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 8.9% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNotarescoRecanatese
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack27%40%
Defense73%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Notaresco Recanatese
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins33%63%47%25%22%24%
Draws33%38%35%25%11%18%
Loses33%0%18%50%67%59%

Form: Notaresco: WDWWWLDWWWDLLDDWD • Recanatese: LWDLLLLLLWLWDDWLL

League goals

Metric Notaresco Recanatese
HATHAT
GF total10132311920
GF avg1.11.61.41.41.01.2
GA total11516151530
GA avg1.20.60.91.91.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNotarescoRecanatese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%59%71%94%
1.529%29%29%53%
2.512%6%12%18%
3.512%0%6%12%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNotarescoRecanatese
HATHAT
Clean sheets257101
Failed to score123145

Penalties

MetricNotarescoRecanatese
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricNotarescoRecanatese
Wins31
Draws22
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-43-11-4
Biggest losses1-3—1-44-1
Goals For2434
Goals Against3244

Model comparison

MetricNotarescoRecanatese
Form55%45%
Att40%60%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Notaresco or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.86 @ Unibet
Draw3.75 @ Superbet
Away4.58 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Unibet
No1.95 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Notaresco = 1.41 (league 1.32), Recanatese = 1.02 (league 1.18)

Recanatese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notaresco 0 8.8% 9.0% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.4% 12.7% 6.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 8.9% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 27.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1