Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.29)
1.05 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.0% | 26.3% | 27.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
11.9%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Recanatese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Notaresco | 0 | 8.2% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Notaresco | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 27% | 40% |
| Defense | 73% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Notaresco | Recanatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 33% | 63% | 47% | 25% | 22% | 24% |
| Draws | 33% | 38% | 35% | 25% | 11% | 18% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 18% | 50% | 67% | 59% |
Form: Notaresco: WDWWWLDWWWDLLDDWD • Recanatese: LWDLLLLLLWLWDDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Notaresco | Recanatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 11 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Notaresco | Recanatese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 59% | 71% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 29% | 29% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 6% | 12% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 0% | 6% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Notaresco | Recanatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Notaresco | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Notaresco | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | — | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Notaresco | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 53.2% | 46.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Notaresco or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.86 @ Unibet
Draw3.75 @ Superbet
Away4.58 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.90 @ Unibet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Notaresco
vs
Recanatese
Expected goals
1.45
Notaresco xG
League Avg: 1.29
Total
2.50
1.05
Recanatese xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
46.0%
Draw
26.3%
Away
27.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.5%
Tip
1 - 0
11.9%
Tip
2 - 1
9.1%
More chances
1.5+
74%
Chance
2.5+
52%
Chance
3.5+
37%
Chance
BTTS
73%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Notaresco = 1.45 (league 1.29), Recanatese = 1.05 (league 1.14)
| Recanatese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Notaresco | 0 | 8.2% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.0% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 27.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1