Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:00 • Stadio Cosimo Puttilli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.40) 0.58 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.1% 30.8% 18.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.2%
0 - 0
16.8%
2 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus Francavilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barletta 0 16.8% 9.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.2% 11.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 7.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.9% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarlettaVirtus Francavilla
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack67%56%
Defense78%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barletta Virtus Francavilla
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins44%38%41%25%33%29%
Draws44%38%41%50%33%41%
Loses11%25%18%25%33%29%

Form: Barletta: DDLDWWWLDDWWLDWWD • Virtus Francavilla: DWDLWDLDLLWLDWWDD

League goals

Metric Barletta Virtus Francavilla
HATHAT
GF total11112291322
GF avg1.21.41.31.11.41.3
GA total471171320
GA avg0.40.90.60.91.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarlettaVirtus Francavilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%35%65%76%
1.529%24%41%29%
2.518%6%12%12%
3.56%0%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarlettaVirtus Francavilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511224
Failed to score224336

Penalties

MetricBarlettaVirtus Francavilla
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricBarlettaVirtus Francavilla
Wins32
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-43-02-5
Biggest losses1-23-20-13-0
Goals For3435
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricBarlettaVirtus Francavilla
Form47%53%
Att55%45%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Barletta or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.20 @ Superbet
Away4.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Superbet
No1.65 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barletta = 1.20 (league 1.40), Virtus Francavilla = 0.58 (league 0.96)

Virtus Francavilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barletta 0 16.8% 9.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.2% 11.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 7.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.9% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 18.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1