Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Tupparello
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.30)
0.84 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.7% | 26.4% | 21.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Vigor Lamezia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Acireale | 0 | 9.8% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 12.2% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Acireale | Vigor Lamezia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 60% | 40% |
| Defense | 20% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Acireale | Vigor Lamezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 22% | 25% | 24% | 50% | 11% | 29% |
| Draws | 44% | 13% | 29% | 13% | 22% | 18% |
| Loses | 33% | 63% | 47% | 38% | 67% | 53% |
Form: Acireale: LDLLLDWWLWDDLWLLD • Vigor Lamezia: WLWLDLLWLDWLLLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Acireale | Vigor Lamezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 8 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 12 | 13 | 25 | 4 | 14 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Acireale | Vigor Lamezia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 94% | 59% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 47% | 18% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 6% | 12% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Acireale | Vigor Lamezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Acireale | Vigor Lamezia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Acireale | Vigor Lamezia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Acireale | Vigor Lamezia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Acireale or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.42 @ Superbet
Draw3.12 @ Marathonbet
Away2.72 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.73 @ Superbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.77 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ Superbet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Acireale = 1.48 (league 1.30), Vigor Lamezia = 0.84 (league 1.08)
| Vigor Lamezia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Acireale | 0 | 9.8% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 12.2% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.7% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 21.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1
