Messina vs Ragusa

Last 5 results

Metric	Messina	Ragusa
Played	5	5
Form	13%	53%
Attack	14%	21%
Defense	57%	79%
Goals For (tot | avg)	2 | 0.4	3 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)	6 | 1.2	3 | 0.6

League fixtures

Metric	Messina			Ragusa
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	15	15	30	15	15	30
Wins	33%	27%	30%	33%	13%	23%
Draws	27%	47%	37%	40%	33%	37%
Loses	40%	27%	33%	27%	53%	40%

Form: Messina: DWLWDDWDWLDWLDWWDLDLWWLDLDLDLL • Ragusa: DLLDDLDLLWLWDDDWLDLDWLLLWWDDLW

League goals

Metric	Messina			Ragusa
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	12	12	24	18	4	22
GF avg	0.8	0.8	0.8	1.2	0.3	0.7
GA total	16	15	31	13	18	31
GA avg	1.1	1.0	1.0	0.9	1.2	1.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Messina		Ragusa
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	57%	67%	43%	60%
1.5	20%	20%	17%	33%
2.5	3%	7%	7%	7%
3.5	0%	7%	3%	3%
4.5	0%	3%	3%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Messina			Ragusa
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	5	5	10	6	6	12
Failed to score	6	7	13	6	11	17

Penalties

Metric	Messina	Ragusa
Scored (total | %)	1 | 100.00%	1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)	0 | 0%	0 | 0%
Total	1	1

Streaks

Metric	Messina	Ragusa
Wins	2	2
Draws	2	3
Losses	1	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	1-3	5-1	0-1
Biggest losses	2-5	4-0	2-3	4-0
Goals For	2	3	5	1
Goals Against	5	4	3	4

Model comparison

Metric	Messina	Ragusa
Form	20%	80%
Att	40%	60%
Def	33%	67%
Poisson Distribution	73%	27%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	43.2%	56.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ragusa and -3.5 goals