Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Guido D'Ippolito
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.30)
0.67 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.7% | 30.1% | 20.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.5%
0 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Messina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Lamezia | 0 | 15.0% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.5% | 12.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 27% |
| Attack | 67% | 33% |
| Defense | 0% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | Messina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 47% | 20% | 33% | 38% | 27% | 32% |
| Draws | 7% | 33% | 20% | 25% | 47% | 35% |
| Loses | 47% | 47% | 47% | 38% | 27% | 32% |
Form: Vigor Lamezia: WLWLDLLWLDWLLLLWDDLWWWWLWDLDLL • Messina: DWLWDDWDWLDWLDWWDLDLWWLDLDLDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | Messina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 13 | 37 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 13 | 19 | 32 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vigor Lamezia | Messina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 67% | 58% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 30% | 19% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 3% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | Messina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 2-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Vigor Lamezia or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Vigor Lamezia
vs
Messina
Expected goals
1.23
Vigor Lamezia xG
League Avg: 1.30
Total
1.90
0.67
Messina xG
League Avg: 1.08
1x2 probabilities
Home
49.7%
Draw
30.1%
Away
20.1%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
18.5%
Tip
0 - 0
15.0%
Tip
1 - 1
12.3%
More chances
1.5+
60%
Chance
2.5+
42%
Chance
3.5+
30%
Chance
BTTS
59%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Vigor Lamezia = 1.23 (league 1.30), Messina = 0.67 (league 1.08)
| Messina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Lamezia | 0 | 15.0% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.5% | 12.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.7% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 20.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1